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The States Are Dangerously Dependent on Medicaid-Expansion Dollars

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Gary Alexander
Director Medicaid and Health Safety Net Reform Initiative at Paragon Health Institute

A nationally recognized health services expert and government reformer, Gary D. Alexander was head of the Medicaid and Health Safety Net Initiative at the Paragon Health Institute from October 2021 to October 2025.

Since the Affordable Care Act (ACA) passed in 2010, Medicaid expansion has been portrayed as a lifeline for millions of Americans and the health-care industry. For many states, however, it has become an addictive source of federal dollars, which masks reality: Medicaid expansion is financially unsustainable, inefficient, and disproportionately benefits able-bodied adults over the truly vulnerable.

The ACA offered states a seemingly generous deal: The federal government would initially cover 100 percent, and later 90 percent, of the cost of states’ expanding Medicaid to cover adults who have incomes up to 138 percent of the federal poverty level. For state politicians, this “free money” was hard to resist, but the short-term windfall leaves states increasingly reliant on federal dollars and vulnerable to a long-term fiscal trap.

Kansas is a prime example of a state that risks falling into this dependency. Democratic governor Laura Kelly has pushed for expansion, saying, “There’s no good logical reason for not having expanded Medicaid.” She has emphasized the federal funding program’s immediate boost to the state’s health-care system and economy, which, however, has come at the expense of fiscal stability and has locked Kansas into unsustainable financial commitments.

The full article can be found in National Review.

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